Pinnacle  +5½ -110  BET365  +5½ -110   Sportsinteraction  +5½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Tennessee +5½ over Los Angeles Rams

1:00 PM ET. The Rams are being priced like they just knocked off the ‘85 Bears when in reality, they beat Houston 14-9 in a game that set football back 20 years. Matthew Stafford dinked and dunked his way to 245 empty yards, Davante Adams looked like a guy cashing one last paycheck, and the whole offense sputtered until Puka Nacua bailed them out. That’s not a statement win — that’s a warning sign.

The narrative on Tennessee is that they’re a trainwreck. The market saw Cam Ward’s debut in Denver, a box score littered with drops, sacks, and penalties, and decided the Titans are the same 3-14 tire fire from last year. That’s the overreaction we hunt. Ward was sacked six times, yes, but he also had eight passes clank off his receivers’ hands, and still managed to audible his way into better looks against the league’s toughest defense. That’s not a kid drowning, that’s a kid swimming without a lifeguard in the deep end.

Tennessee’s defense is legit. They forced four turnovers in Denver but more important than that - they went after the quarterback to force those mistakes. That alone keeps them live in every game, especially against a Rams’ O-line that might be missing both starting guards. You want to lay road points with a banged-up line protecting a creaky QB who takes hits like it’s his full-time job? That’s not value, that’s a leap of faith.

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