Pinnacle   -9½  -110  BET365  -9½  -110 Sportsinteraction -9½  -110 888Sport -9½  -110

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Florida -9½ over Connecticut

Lenovo Center – Raleigh, NC

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – West Region

12:10 PM ET. The Huskies are a college basketball powerhouse—back-to-back national titles, 13-0 in their last three tournaments, and even more absurd? They’ve covered the spread in every single one of those games. That kind of dominance isn’t just impressive—it’s burned into the betting market, inflating their stock to near-unfathomable levels. And that’s where the opportunity lies.

Add to that UConn’s historical dominance over Florida—winning the last five meetings, covering the last four, and holding the Gators without a win in the series for over 30 years—and suddenly, Florida laying nearly double digits feels absurd on the surface. But that’s exactly why we’re interested. The books didn’t hang this number by accident. It’s a sharp signal that Florida is the better team, and they’re about to prove it.

We could write a novel about how dangerous Florida is—how they’re elite in every sense of the word—but you’ve already heard all that from every talking head in the bracketology world. This isn’t about past matchups, brand-name bias, or nostalgia. It’s about current trajectory, roster construction, and raw matchup reality. If UConn wasn’t named UConn, this line would be significantly bigger.

This might be one of the last times we get Florida at a reasonable price in this tournament. That’s why we step in. The Gators are a must-play—and we’ll happily lay the lumber.

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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Baylor +12 over Duke

Lenovo Center – Raleigh, NC

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – East Region

2:40 PM ET. Let’s get this out of the way—Duke is Duke. The #1 team in the country, a blue-blood powerhouse, and a program that gets automatic respect in March. The Blue Devils did exactly what the world expected in their opener, annihilating Mount St. Mary’s by 44, covering a massive number with ease. That win was emphatic, the betting market took note, and now the narrative is shifting toward “Duke might just steamroll its way to the Final Four.” That’s exactly when we look to step in.

Baylor, meanwhile, quietly handled its business against Mississippi State, a team that’s been an enigma all season. The Bears’ win didn’t move the needle, and that’s precisely why this number is so enticing. Baylor is being treated like an afterthought, but the reality is far different.

This is a team with legitimate tournament chops. Sure, their 12-18-3 record against the spread doesn’t scream “trustworthy,” but that’s where perception and value diverge. Baylor ranks 29th in KenPom efficiency, putting them in the same tier as (or ahead of) teams like:

#5 seed Oregon

#7 seed Marquette

#8 seed UConn (yes, the two-time defending champs)

#11 seed North Carolina (who nearly knocked off Duke in the ACC Tournament)

Not bad for a #9 seed catching nearly a dozen points. This is what we call an inflated line—one where a team’s name and public perception are doing too much of the work.

Look, Duke is a monster. They might win this game, but this isn’t about predicting the outright winner—it’s about finding the value. Baylor is battle-tested, tournament-savvy, and well-coached. They won’t be intimidated by the moment or the logo on the other jersey. If Duke keeps rolling, so be it. But when you’re getting a tournament-proven team with elite efficiency metrics and a double-digit cushion, you take it.

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Maryland -8 over Colorado State

Climate Pledge Arena – Seattle, WA

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – West Region

7:15 PM ET. Remember when we said there’s a time and place to fade Colorado State? That time is now. We backed the Rams in the first round as a 1.5-point favorite against Memphis, even though they were a #12 seed facing a #5. The number told the story, and CSU delivered—an easy cover, their 11th straight win, and another ATS cash. Now? The whole world is lining up to hit the broken slot machine.

But we know how this goes. Markets correct. Streaks end. And this matchup is the perfect place for that to happen.

Enter Maryland—a team that not only looked dominant in their opener but was also faded hard in that spot. Grand Canyon was a trendy dog, another mid-major darling taking back what looked like a generous number. And what happened? The Terps obliterated them by 32 in a game that was never in doubt. They didn’t just cover—they buried them.

Yet, despite that wire-to-wire demolition, Maryland still isn’t getting the respect. Why? Because Colorado State is riding the heater. If CSU weren’t on this streak, they’d likely be catching double digits here—just like Grand Canyon was. That’s where the value flips.

We don’t need to break down the X’s and O’s here. This is a market reaction play. Colorado State has been cashing tickets, and the books are adjusting to that—not to this specific matchup. Maryland just faced a team in a nearly identical spot—and ran them out of the gym. Now, we’re getting the superior side at a discount.

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Kentucky +115 ML over Illinois

Fiserv Forum – Milwaukee, IL

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – Midwest Region

5:15 PM ET. Here we go again—our favorite tournament pattern in full effect: zig, zag, zig. Let’s take a quick rewind. In the First Four, the market was all over Texas, confidently fading Xavier. That didn’t work out. Texas flopped, Xavier advanced. Then the market flipped, backing Xavier as a short underdog against Illinois. That didn’t work out either—Illinois won by 13, covering easily and ripping up more tickets. Now, predictably, the market swings once again, chasing Illinois at a near pick’em against Kentucky.

We get it. Illinois looked sharp. And Kentucky? Their recent March track record has been… let’s call it uninspiring. The Wildcats have worn the blue-blood label without producing blue-blood results. But here’s the key: when was the last time you got Kentucky at a discount in a 50/50 game? Think about that.

This isn’t Kansas on Thursday—where the name brand was overvalued. This is Kentucky—one of the most talented rosters in the country—getting a fair number because of recent disappointments. That’s a rare opportunity.

Now, let’s talk matchup. Illinois can score, ranking 11th in the country at 83.9 PPG. But guess who’s fifth? Kentucky, averaging 85.0 PPG. These two teams play at a similar tempo, thrive on offense, and both rank outside the top 250 in scoring defense. That means this game is likely coming down to tempo, shot-making, and a few crucial late possessions.

In a pure coin-flip game, the right play is taking the better price. That’s Kentucky. The market has been swinging back and forth on Illinois, and we’re happy to step in against the grain—grabbing a blue-blood with elite offensive metrics at plus money in a game that’s up for grabs. Big Blue to the Sweet 16.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer! 

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Oregon +150 ML over Arizona

Climate Pledge Arena – Seattle, WA

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – East Region

9:40 PM ET. This is a textbook second-round overreaction spot, and we’re jumping in. The market is still glowing from Arizona’s demolition of Akron, and as a result, we’re seeing a massive swing in perception.

Let’s rewind. Coming into Friday, Arizona was on upset alert. Akron was one of the most heavily backed underdogs of the opening round, taking 14 points in a game where many saw them as a Cinderella candidate. Why? Who knows. The Zips played no one, don’t play any defense, and rely entirely on their offense. We saw it coming. Arizona steamrolled them by 38. But now, the books have overcorrected, pricing that result into this matchup in a big way.

Meanwhile, Oregon handled its business quietly—a 29-point beatdown of Liberty, a performance just as dominant as Arizona’s, but one that didn’t generate the same headlines. Why? Because Arizona torched the betting public by dismantling the trendy dog. That’s how perception skews lines. Suddenly, the Ducks are being treated like a step behind—just because they didn’t do it against the more hyped side. Let’s reset. This is a rivalry game. These teams have battled each other for years in the now-defunct Pac-12. That means familiarity—the kind that evens the playing field regardless of seeding or spread. When these two square off, you throw out the numbers. The only thing that matters is who the market is undervaluing—and that’s Oregon, no question.

Arizona looked unstoppable against Akron, but let’s not pretend Akron was a real test. Their résumé was built against mid-tier competition. Oregon, meanwhile, has been trading punches with high-major teams all year. This game is a coin flip—and in a coin flip, you take the dog at plus money. The market is zigging toward Arizona. That’s when we zag. Quack Quack.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer! 

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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