Pinnacle    +5½  -110     BET365  +5½ -110   Sportsinteraction  +5½ -110  888port  +5½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Chicago +5½ over Washington FedEx Field – Landover, MD

8:15 PM ET. It’s funny how short the market’s memory is. Twelve months ago, these same two teams met on a Monday night that turned into one of the cruelest gut-punches in recent Bears history. Chicago led with 25 seconds left, only to lose on a Hail Mary that will live forever in blooper reels. Fast forward to now, and we’re right back in the same spot — only the market wants to pretend last year’s collapse means something today. It doesn’t.

Washington opened as a four-point favorite, but the number has crept up, meaning the betting public is once again convinced the Commanders are a legitimate NFC force. Why? Because they beat the Chargers? Because Jayden Daniels is “back”? The hype train is already out of control. The Commanders’ win in L.A. was fine, not impressive — the Chargers look broken, and Washington still produced fewer than 350 yards of offense against a defense that can’t stop anyone.

We’re not denying that Washington is better coached and structurally improved under Dan Quinn, but laying nearly a touchdown with this roster is rich. Deebo Samuel’s banged up, Terry McLaurin is still out, and the offensive line is one injury away from crisis mode. When you strip away the noise, this is still a middle-of-the-pack team built on the illusion of defensive pressure and a quarterback who’s yet to face sustained adversity.

Chicago, meanwhile, comes off a bye, rested, and under the radar. The new regime has this group playing disciplined football — they’re 2-2 with both wins coming on the road — and Caleb Williams is showing poise that doesn’t show up in box scores. The Bears’ defense is still a work in progress, but they’re getting healthier, with Kyler Gordon returning and the secondary finally resembling something coherent.

This line suggests the Commanders are comfortably better. They’re not. Chicago’s offense isn’t efficient yet, but they can hang in games, especially against a team like Washington that’s more reputation than result. Caleb Williams has the arm talent to exploit a vulnerable secondary and extend plays against a blitz-heavy front that tends to overcommit.

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

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Pinnacle    +3½ -105     BET365  +3½ -105   Sportsinteraction  +3½ -105  888port  +3½ -105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Atlanta +3½ -105 over Buffalo

Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, GA

7:15 PM ET. Buffalo’s been sitting atop the power rankings for weeks now, but if you’ve watched closely, the cracks are starting to show. Last week’s 23–20 loss to New England wasn’t some fluke — it was a red flag. The Patriots out-physicaled the Bills at the line of scrimmage, controlled time of possession, and made Josh Allen look mortal. It was Buffalo’s first loss of the year, but the way it happened speaks volumes. Now the market expects an instant bounce-back on Monday night. We’re not buying it.

The Bills haven’t lost back-to-back games in over a year, so naturally, the knee-jerk reaction is that “they won’t lose two in a row.” That’s the kind of logic that sportsbooks love. The truth is, Buffalo’s margin for error is shrinking. The injuries are piling up — Matt Milano, Dalton Kincaid, Damar Hamlin, and multiple pieces of their defensive rotation are either ruled out or banged up — and they’re running into a rested, confident Falcons team that does all the little things right.

Atlanta quietly leads the NFL in total defense. Yes, you read that correctly. They’re physical, well-coached, and have a front seven that gets home without having to blitz. Head coach Raheem Morris has this group playing fast, tackling soundly, and dictating pace. That’s a formula that travels — and plays especially well at home in primetime.

Offensively, the Falcons’ young backfield tandem of Bijan Robinson and Michael Penix Jr. gives them balance and unpredictability. Penix doesn’t have to be Superman; he just has to protect the ball and move the chains. That’s exactly the kind of approach that frustrates Buffalo, who want a track meet, not a grind.

The market is pricing this like Buffalo will flip the switch and roll. That’s wishful thinking. The Bills are the public side, the shiny toy everyone’s rushing to back after one off week. Atlanta, meanwhile, is coming off a bye, sitting at home with two weeks to prepare for this exact opponent. That’s a massive situational edge.

Take advantage of BET365's early MLB payout offer! 

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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