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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Boston +100 over Kansas City

Connelly Early (LHP - Boston) vs. Michael Wacha (RHP - Kansas City)

7:40 PM EST. Connelly Early continues to emerge as a reliable arm for Boston after rebounding nicely from his rough May 2 outing. Over his last two starts, the left-hander has allowed just two earned runs across 12 innings while striking out 14 and walking only one batter. The advanced metrics back up the improvement as well. Early has posted a first-pitch strike rate of at least 68% in both outings while generating a swinging-strike rate above 8% and consistently producing ground-ball contact with seven grounders in each start. He now carries a 3.97 xERA alongside a 3.26 ERA and an impressive 13% K-BB%, showing strong command and the ability to miss bats when ahead in counts. The matchup also lines up well against a Royals lineup hitting only .231 versus left-handed pitching over the past month.

Michael Wacha has been excellent statistically for Kansas City this season with a 2.84 ERA, but some underlying indicators suggest he may be pitching slightly above expectation. Wacha continues to rely heavily on soft contact and sequencing rather than overpowering hitters, and Boston’s lineup has been one of the more disciplined groups against right-handed pitching. The Red Sox have consistently worked deep counts and generated quality contact against veteran righties, which could become problematic for Wacha if his changeup command is not sharp early. Boston also brings more lineup depth into this matchup, particularly from the left side, where they can pressure Wacha in hitter-friendly counts.

Boston profiles as the stronger value side on the road because of both current pitching form and offensive matchup trends. Early’s recent command surge gives the Red Sox a legitimate edge against a Kansas City offense that has struggled to generate production against left-handed pitching. If Early continues pounding the strike zone early in counts, the Royals may have difficulty manufacturing enough offense to keep pace. With Boston’s lineup capable of applying pressure throughout all nine innings and Wacha facing a disciplined offense that rarely gives away at-bats, the Red Sox are well positioned to leave Kansas City with the win.

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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Milwaukee +100 over Chicago

7:40 PM EST. Kyle Harrison (LHP - MIL) is coming off one of his strongest starts of the season, firing five shutout innings against San Diego while striking out seven without issuing a walk. The left-hander has now allowed two earned runs or fewer in all eight of his starts, posting a 3.22 xERA while combining swing-and-miss stuff with excellent command. Harrison draws a difficult assignment against a Cubs lineup that has handled left-handed pitching well over the past month, hitting .264 with a 114 wRC+ while striking out just 18.6% of the time. Still, Harrison has been one of the more reliable arms in Milwaukee's rotation and continues to outperform expectations every fifth day.

Edward Cabrera (RHP - CHC) remains one of baseball's most tantalizing arms, but the results continue to lag behind the talent. Cabrera has allowed at least three earned runs in each of his seven starts and owns a 5.26 ERA. While his underlying metrics suggest some positive regression may eventually arrive, bettors have been waiting on that breakthrough for years. His strikeout rate remains solid, but command issues and an inability to consistently work deep into games continue to create problems. Now he faces a Brewers lineup that has been scorching right-handed pitching over the past month, hitting .266 while striking out less than 20% of the time.

Milwaukee has already won the first two games of this series and there is no compelling reason to step in front of them now. The Brewers are playing excellent baseball, they're swinging the bats with confidence, and they continue to find ways to win regardless of venue or opponent. Bettors often look for reasons to jump off a hot team, but sometimes the simplest approach is the correct one. Milwaukee is rolling, Chicago is sending out a vulnerable favorite, and the price is offering even money on the hotter club.

The Brewers enter with the steadier starter, the hotter lineup, and all the momentum in this series. We'll continue riding the streak until the market gives us a reason not to.

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If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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BET365     Sportsinteraction

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Colorado -1½ +205 over Texas

Kyle Freeland (LHP - Colorado) vs. Jack Leiter (RHP - Texas)

3:10 PM EST. Kyle Freeland’s overall ERA sits at an ugly 7.36, but this spot sets up better for the veteran left-hander than the raw numbers suggest. Freeland has traditionally pitched more effectively at home when he is generating ground balls early in counts, and Texas has shown stretches of inconsistency against left-handed pitching away from Arlington. The Rangers remain heavily power-dependent offensively, and that approach can work against them in Coors when pitchers avoid free passes and force hitters to expand the zone. Freeland’s ability to keep the ball down and limit damage contact becomes critical here, especially against a Texas lineup that has been more volatile on the road this season.

Jack Leiter enters this matchup off two strong outings where he has allowed just one earned run over his last 11.2 innings while striking out 12 batters. The underlying metrics continue to show why Texas remains high on the young right-hander, as Leiter carries a strong 25% strikeout rate alongside a 12.9% swinging-strike rate and a respectable 3.79 xERA. However, the biggest concern remains his command. Leiter has walked eight batters across those last two starts and owns a 9% walk rate on the season, which becomes dangerous in Coors Field where free baserunners often turn into crooked innings quickly. Colorado has quietly hit right-handed pitching well over the past month, batting .265 with a .162 ISO, and this is a lineup capable of capitalizing if Leiter falls behind in counts.

Colorado also profiles well as a reverse run line play because of the offensive environment at Coors Field and the volatility that comes with it. Leiter’s strikeout upside is legitimate, but his command issues create opportunities for big innings, particularly against a Rockies offense that has been far more productive at home. If Colorado can force Leiter into elevated pitch counts early, Texas may once again lean heavily on a bullpen that has been inconsistent in middle relief situations. In a game where offense should come in waves, the value sits with Colorado at home to pull off this upset.

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If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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