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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Arizona +105 over St. Louis

Brandon Pfaadt (RHP – Arizona) – 3.89 ERA 

Michael McGreevy (RHP – St. Louis) – 2.92 ERA

5:15 PM EST.Brandon Pfaadt continues to post underlying metrics that support his success, carrying an xERA that sits in line with his 3.89 ERA while striking out hitters at a rate of better than 9.0 K/9. His command has also improved as the season has progressed, with a BB/9 below 2.5, allowing him to stay ahead in counts and limit free baserunners. Pfaadt's combination of strikeouts and control gives him one of the stronger analytical profiles among National League starters.

 McGreevy has done an excellent job preventing runs, but several advanced indicators suggest his margin for error is much slimmer. His xERA trends higher than his 2.92 ERA, while his strikeout rate sits in the 7.0 K/9 range, well below Pfaadt's ability to miss bats. McGreevy has relied heavily on contact management, and that approach becomes more difficult against an Arizona lineup that consistently ranks among the better teams at producing hard contact and extra-base hits against right-handed pitching. His BB/9 has remained solid, but the lower strikeout profile leaves more balls in play, increasing the chances for Arizona to generate offense.

 The Diamondbacks also bring a disciplined offensive approach into this matchup, consistently forcing opposing pitchers into longer at-bats while limiting chase swings outside the strike zone. That patience pairs well against a contact-oriented starter like McGreevy, who depends on early-count outs to work efficiently. Arizona's lineup has the balance to create scoring opportunities throughout the game rather than relying on one big inning.

 The betting market has placed considerable weight on McGreevy's ERA, but the advanced metrics point toward a much more even pitching matchup. Pfaadt owns the superior strikeout profile, the stronger underlying indicators, and the type of command that translates well on the road. Arizona is the play in this spot and and in our opion the pitching advantage needed to leave St. Louis with a victory.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Minnesota +125 over Cleveland

Taj Bradley (RHP – Minnesota) – 3.87 ERA

Gavin Williams (RHP – Cleveland) – 4.01 ERA

1:10 PM EST. Taj Bradley's underlying numbers continue to point toward sustainable success. Bradley has paired his 3.87 ERA with an xERA that remains comfortably below 4.00, while his swing-and-miss arsenal has translated into a K/9 north of 10.0. His BB/9 has stayed under control, allowing him to work ahead in counts and attack hitters rather than pitching out of constant traffic. Bradley has consistently generated chase swings with his fastball-splitter combination, and his strikeout profile gives Minnesota the higher ceiling on the mound.

Gavin Williams enters with a 4.01 ERA, but his advanced metrics paint a more modest picture. His xERA sits slightly above his traditional ERA, while his K/9 has settled in the low-8.0 range, noticeably behind Bradley's strikeout production. Williams has also issued more walks than desired, carrying a BB/9 around 3.5, leading to elevated pitch counts and extra baserunners. Although he has limited damage in several outings, the combination of average swing-and-miss numbers and inconsistent command creates opportunities for disciplined offenses.

Minnesota's lineup has excelled at grinding through plate appearances, consistently forcing opposing starters into deep counts while ranking among the better clubs at drawing walks against right-handed pitching. That approach matches up well against Williams, whose command has been inconsistent throughout the season. Bradley's ability to miss bats minimizes the risk of extended rallies, giving the Twins a significant edge in the most important matchup on the field.

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If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

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If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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