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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Seattle +117 over Anaheim

10:00 PM EST This matchup is a strong example of market pricing lagging behind current form and role clarity. Anaheim is being treated as the safer side largely because of home ice and a recent win, but the underlying numbers point to a much narrower gap than the odds suggest. Seattle comes in playing its most complete hockey of the season, with clearly defined top-line roles, consistent five-on-five pressure, and improving finishing. When two teams are essentially even in the standings and recent results, yet one is catching plus money simply because it’s on the road, that’s where value begins to surface. The Kraken don’t need to be dominant here — they just need to play their game, which has traveled well during this stretch.

Seattle’s edge lies in stability and scoring balance. With Jared McCann healthy and back in a featured role, the Kraken finally have a reliable offensive driver who tilts matchups and forces defensive adjustments. That has a ripple effect through the lineup, creating better looks for secondary scorers and reducing the need for high-risk plays. Anaheim, by contrast, has relied on short bursts and power-play efficiency rather than sustained puck control. That’s a tougher formula to trust against a Seattle team that has consistently limited high-danger chances in this matchup and shown it can close out tight, low-event games — exactly the type of environment this contest is likely to settle into.

From a betting perspective, this is less about fading Anaheim and more about taking advantage of mispriced probability. The Ducks are not dominant enough at home to justify being clear favorites against a divisional opponent that has already proven it can beat them multiple times. Seattle’s recent run isn’t a fluke built on goaltending luck — it’s been driven by improved structure, cleaner breakouts, and more efficient offensive-zone time. When the market prices this like Anaheim holds a meaningful edge, grabbing the more complete team at a discount is the sharper play. Seattle to win outright offers value rooted in form, matchup history, and lineup health — not public perception.

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