Toronto @ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -½ +119 over Toronto

Posted at 10:45 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle -½ +118 BET365 -½ +110 SportsInteraction -½ +110 888Sport -½ +110

Pittsburgh -½ +119 over Toronto

7:08 PM EST. Regulation only. We faded the Maple Leafs yesterday in Minnesota, thus in the spirit of sticking with it, we’re going to come right back against them today. It’s a little odd that the Maple Leafs didn’t save Matt Murray for this start tonight against his old team in Pittsburgh, but that Toronto chose to play Murray in Minnesota works to our advantage.

This will be Toronto’s third road game in four nights, and so it will send backup Erik Kallgren to patrol the crease. The 26-year-old Swede has played in nine games so far this season, posting just a .891 SV%. Kallgren is 2-2, with his last appearance coming in a loss to the Islanders last Monday night.

More than that however, is the emotional toll of the past week that Toronto has endured. We have no doubt it will serve the Maple Leafs well later on, as this team is taking on an “us against the world” attitude after taking so much heat in the media in October. The Maple Leafs didn’t deserve all the adjectives used to describe them but because wins and losses is all that matters, they took a lot of heat.

Back to the emotional toll of the past few days. Toronto had to deal with the death of Borje Salming after a OT loss to the Islanders. They then played and beat New Jersey, who was on a record breaking run of 13 straight wins. Yesterday, Toronto was on the road in Minnesota and again, played a decent road game but hung on for dear life in a 4-3 win. They won because Murray was on fire while Marc Andre Fleury allowed two goals that 100% of the other goalies in this league would’ve stopped. A Toronto exhale has to be coming and while they figure to jacked up to play the Pens in Pittsburgh, there is a difference between feeling and performing. An emotionally drained Toronto team minus three key d-men should not be that difficult to beat here.



Our Pick

Pittsburgh -½ +119 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.38)

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver +160 over Vegas

Posted at 10:45 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +149 BET365 +160 SportsInteraction +155 888Sport +155

Vancouver +160 over Vegas

10:08 PM EST. OT included. Situationally speaking, this looks like a good spot to step in and fade the Golden Knights, as the Canucks catch them playing their third game in four nights and at the tail end of a back-to-back. Vegas may be running on fumes here after getting outshot by Ottawa last Wednesday and again by Seattle last night. Vancouver also catches Vegas on the final game of this homestand, as the Knights head out for a four-game Eastern roadie beginning on Monday. We like to fade teams that are headed out on the road after a run of home games because often we can catch them with one foot out the door and on the plane.

The Canucks had an abysmal start to the season after losing their first seven games, but they’ve always been good. Even in October, Vancouver had leads in many of those early games, but could not hang on. Fast-forward to tonight where the Canucks are back in Las Vegas once again chasing a playoff position as they face the Golden Knights for the second time in a week. Last Monday, the Canucks lost 5-4 to the Golden Knights at Rogers Arena, taking and then blowing a third-period lead, giving up two tallies in the game’s final 10 minutes. How far away from being elite are the Canucks? Well, for the eighth time this season, the Canucks have blown multiple-goal leads and the latest was a gut-punch of being too passive in their defensive posture, especially down low. Take those eight losses and turn ‘em into 6 wins and we’re looking at a team with a record of 13-4-3 and not 7-10-3. That’s how close this team is to being recognized as elite. We like it this way because of the media's fascination with winning but there is no doubt that based on performances and not results that Vancouver is an upper-tier team that is rested and should not be taking back prices like this.



Our Pick

Vancouver +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday000.000.00
Last 30 Days9160.00-5.72
Season to Date17320.00-17.64