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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

New Orleans +12½ over Detroit

Little Caesars Arena – Detroit, MI

3:00 PM ET. This is the definition of a value play, not because New Orleans looks good on paper, but because they look that bad. Let’s not sugarcoat it—the Pelicans are a mess. They’re 19–52 straight up, just 28–42–1 against the spread, and have scraped together a pathetic seven road wins all year. On Friday, they got demolished by 41 in Minnesota. Earlier this week, they were torched by these same Pistons, losing by 46 at home as 6.5-point dogs.

So, who in their right mind would want New Orleans here? That’s exactly the point. When a team has zero backers, no momentum, and just got embarrassed on national TV, their stock hits rock bottom—and that’s precisely when we buy in. Blowout teams in bounce-back spots are one of the most reliable angles in NBA betting, especially when paired with inflated lines like this one.

The market has overreacted to those two brutal losses, especially the 46-point destruction at the hands of Detroit. But in the NBA, revenge spots matter. The Pelicans are still professionals, and you better believe they remember exactly what happened on their home floor—twice. This line isn’t about basketball—it’s about where value hides.

If you think Detroit can’t play down to their competition, just rewind ten days ago when the Pistons lost outright to Washington—two nights after beating them by 20. We’re not asking the Pelicans to win. We’re asking them to show up, play with pride, and be better than their absolute worst version. And against Detroit, that’s all it should take to get us to the window. We’ll grab the points.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer! 

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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