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San Jose -1½ +210 over Los Angeles
10:00 PM EDT. We're certainly not going to overreact to one game, but we're also not going to completely ignore it. Los Angeles went into Colorado...
Seattle +165 over Edmonton
7:00 PM EST. The Oilers are going to win plenty of games. There?s no question about that. They have enormous firepower, the best player in the...
Chicago +155 over Cleveland
1:00 PM ET. We?re taking the White Sox at +155 in Game 1 of the ALDS. Chicago has been the hot hand, and at this price, there?s no reason ...
Arkansas St +6 -105 over UL Lafayette
8:00 PM EST. The market has already made a pretty substantial move toward Louisiana, taking the Cajuns from roughly -4 to -6½. We're going the other...
Colorado St +6½ -105 over Oregon St
6:00 PM EST. Oregon State has been one of the early-season surprises, and the market has noticed. The Beavers are 2-2 but 4-0 against the spread...
Marshall +18½ -110 over James Madison
3:45 PM EST. There isn't much mystery surrounding why James Madison is laying this kind of number. The Dukes are 4-0, they're scoring nearly 45 points...
UTEP +22½ -110 over New Mexico
4:00 PM EST. New Mexico has looked outstanding through four games, while UTEP has looked downright awful. Put those two things together...
Old Dominion +115 over Georgia St.
3:30 PM EST. This is almost a perfect example of why we have very little interest in chasing closing-line value. Old Dominion ...
Vanderbilt +25½ -110 over Georgia
12:45 PM EST. College football has changed, and we're not sure the market has completely adjusted to just how much. There...
Utah St. +19½ -110 over Boise St.
7:30 PM EST. There might not be a team in the Group of Six carrying more market respect right now than Boise State. The ...
Early leans & analysis
NFL Week: 4 What you see below is our early leans. Many of the selections below will stay the same and some will be move...

 

 

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Sep 28, 2026 13:28:08
While I love your contrarian viewpoint, IMHO, you overdue it sometime. Just because the public likes something, it doesn't automatically mean that it is wrong. If you want to say there is extra value on the underdog, because the public is overplaying the favorite, that is valid. But being on a public choice doesn't make it loser if all your analysis points that way. Sometimes you take the opposite of what your logic and analysis tells you because "it's too good to be true". Is it always?
Joe P.
Sep 20, 2026 09:55:23
Quite a year thus far! Keep up the great work, it's much appreciated.
Ralph
Sep 8, 2026 20:45:59
3 for 3 on CFL again, good work!
Tom