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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Calgary +110 over NY Rangers

7:00 PM EST Calgary enters this matchup as an underdog, but the value may lie with the Flames given the circumstances surrounding both teams. While Calgary has struggled overall this season, their record doesn’t fully reflect how competitive many of their games have been. The Flames are still capable of generating offense in spurts, and players like Mikael Backlund and Yegor Sharangovich have provided steady production throughout the lineup. Even in their recent loss to Washington, Calgary showed resilience by climbing back from an early deficit before the game slipped away late. When this team finds rhythm offensively, it has shown the ability to hang around in games even against stronger opponents.

New York, meanwhile, hasn’t been particularly dominant at home this season, and that’s an important factor when evaluating the betting value in this matchup. Despite flashes of offensive ability, the Rangers have been inconsistent defensively and have allowed opponents to stay within striking distance far too often. While Mika Zibanejad delivered a big performance in the previous outing, New York has struggled to maintain momentum from one game to the next. Their overall defensive numbers and save percentage have been middle-of-the-pack, which can make them vulnerable against teams willing to play a physical, opportunistic style.

From a value perspective, backing Calgary in an upset makes sense when considering how closely matched these teams are statistically. Both clubs have struggled to consistently outscore opponents this season, and games between evenly flawed teams often come down to a few key chances. If Calgary receives solid goaltending and capitalizes on its scoring opportunities, it has a realistic path to controlling the pace and keeping the Rangers from dictating play. With the market likely favoring New York due to name recognition and home ice, the Flames offer appealing underdog value to pull off the upset in this matchup.

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