Today's Free Picks for

Pinnacle +6 -110 BET365 +6 -110 Sportsinteraction +6 -110 888port +6 -110
Posted at 8:00AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Cleveland +6 over Pittsburgh
1:00 PM EST. Let’s break this down. The Steelers are 3-1. They’re NFL royalty — a blue blood program with Aaron Rodgers under center and that classic “Steel Curtain” aura. They’re coming off a bye week, rested, healthy, and polished. Across the field? The Browns, the NFL’s Charlie Brown. Every time they line up to kick the football, Lucy (the league, the media, or fate itself) pulls it away and sends them spinning through the air. They just got back from London, they’re starting a rookie quarterback, and they traded Joe Flacco to Cincinnati because apparently Cleveland’s coaching staff saw all they needed to see from Dillon Gabriel in one jet-lagged start overseas. On paper, this looks like a very short price, which is exactly what the oddsmakers want you to think.
Pittsburgh’s coming off a bye, Cleveland’s flying in from Europe after another sick loss and the line opened at Steelers -5. Five points! Not a touchdown, not six and a hook, just five. If the Steelers are this juggernaut, and the Browns are exhausted, overmatched, and led by a rookie, why aren’t they laying seven or more? It’s because Vegas is begging you on their knees to bet the Steelers. They’re dangling the black-and-gold flag in front of you like Lucy holding the football — “Go ahead, kick it, we promise this time it’s safe.” Charlie Brown is all set to kick the proverbial football again only this time. Oddsmakers fully expect Chuck to connect.
Dillon Gabriel was solid in his debut, going 19-for-33 with two touchdowns and rookie running back Quinshon Judkins rumbled for 110 yards while tight end Harold Fannin Jr. hauled in a score. The Browns are young, fearless, and unscarred by decades of emotional trauma their fanbase has suffered. They’re not supposed to win this game, which makes them incredibly dangerous. The Steelers’ offense, meanwhile, has been about as electric as a rotary phone. Their defense will get its hits, sure, but the Browns’ energy and unpredictability are real.
Charlie Brown always lands on his back. He always gets embarrassed, dusts himself off, and lines up again but one of these days, he’s going to connect and Lucy’s going to be the one staring in disbelief. This is that moment for Cleveland. The setup is too perfect, the trap too obvious, the “Steelers off a bye” narrative too sweet. Pittsburgh is the sucker side here. Take the points, take the pain, and trust that one day, the football stays put.
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Our Pick
Cleveland +6 -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)