Pinnacle   -1½ +205   BET365   -1½ +205  Sportsinteraction  -1½ +205  888port  -1½ +205

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Anaheim -1½ +205 over Detroit

Honda Center - Anaheim, CA

10:00 PM ET. Regulation only. Detroit just survived a complete collapse in Los Angeles, blowing a 3-1 lead in the final two minutes before barely escaping in a shootout. That was their third game in four nights, and now they play a fourth in six while traveling again, this time against a rested and confident Ducks team.

The market sees “first in the Atlantic” beside Detroit’s name and assumes the wins will keep coming. What it ignores is how they’re winning. The Red Wings are getting bailed out nightly by goaltending and puck luck. They’ve been outshot in five of their last six and have given up 30+ shots in nine straight. That’s not sustainable, especially when you’re facing an Anaheim side that’s quietly been trending up in every meaningful metric.

The Ducks just wrapped a five-game road trip with a 3-1-1 record, capped by a statement win in Florida where they blew a two-goal lead but steadied themselves to win in a shootout. That’s growth. That’s a team buying in. Troy Terry’s on a heater, Cutter Gauthier looks like a future star, and Lukas Dostal has been nails between the pipes. This isn’t last year’s Ducks — they’re faster, deeper, and playing with actual structure.

Detroit’s in a fatigue spot, emotionally and physically, after Thursday’s wild finish. Anaheim, meanwhile, returns home energized and catching a traveling opponent on fumes. The Ducks have been undervalued all season and this line is another example.

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