TCU vs Ohio St.
TCU +120 over Ohio St.

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Posted at 11:00 PM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Thursday, March 19

TCU +120 over Ohio St.

Bon Secours Wellness Arena – Greenville, SC

12:15 PM EST TCU outright is the call. We’re going to take TCU on the moneyline here because this is a matchup where the Horned Frogs bring a stronger overall profile than their record suggests. TCU has already proven it can compete with high-level teams, picking up wins over Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa State, and Texas Tech. Playing in the Big 12 has prepared them for this stage, and their ability to defend at a high level gives them a clear edge in a tightly lined game. This is a team that forces turnovers consistently and disrupts opponents’ rhythm, which translates extremely well in tournament settings.

Ohio State enters this game with momentum, but that late surge has inflated the perception of how strong this team actually is. The Buckeyes were on the bubble for a reason, struggling through long stretches of inconsistency before putting together a short run to close the season. While their recent offensive numbers look impressive, they have not consistently faced the same level of defensive pressure that TCU brings. That shift in opponent quality is a major factor here and one that favors the Horned Frogs.

TCU’s defensive intensity, depth, and ability to win games in multiple ways make them the more reliable side in this spot. Their wins against quality opponents were not flukes — they reflect a team that can compete physically, control stretches of play, and execute when it matters. With this game essentially priced as a coin flip, getting +115 on the team with the stronger defensive identity and proven results against elite competition offers clear value.

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Our Pick

TCU +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

 

 

Arkansas -15½ -110 over Hawaii
Nebraska -13 -110 over Troy
Wisconsin -10 -110 over High Point
Louisville -4½ -110 over South Florida
McNeese +12 -110 over Vanderbilt
Texas A&M +3 -110 over Saint Mary?s
Penn +25½ -110 over Illinois
Texas +115 over BYU
Georgia -2 -110 over Saint Louis
North Carolina -2½ -110 over VCU
Texas Tech -7½ -110 over Akron
Santa Clara +150 over Kentucky
St. John?s -9½ -110 over Northern Iowa
Missouri +110 over Miami