St. Louis @ Chicago
St. Louis +113 over Chicago

Pinnacle +113 BET365 +110 Sportsinteraction +110 888Sport +110

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

St. Louis over Chicago

1:10 PM EST. Miles Mikolas (RHP - St. L) has pitched much better lately, as he's gone at least six innings in his last four starts, with his latest being a seven-inning, one-hit gem against Pittsburgh. While his season 13% K-BB is in line with his career numbers, he's maintained a 17% K-BB over the last month - and this opponent has a 24% strikeout rate vs. RHP. The Cubbies offense is not performing very well these days.

The wind is blowing out at Wrigley today (total is 11) so chances are very high that one or both of these teams are going to put up a crooked number. We’re betting that Jameson Taillon (RHP - CHC) gets his bell rung today because he’s flashing well below-average skills.

Taillon’s swing and miss rate has dropped, as his four-seam fastball's (6%), his cutter's (7%), and his curveball's 9% swing and miss rate have not missed many bats. His K% is in the bottom tier of the league’s starters. A lucky strand rate is helping keep his ERA below his xERA, and a HR/F dip is also helping his results.

When looking at his below-average skills, Taillon's current ERA is expected to increase. With a favorable strand rate and HR/F, his misleading ERA of 3.09 should move closer to his xERA of 5.08. It’s worth mentioning that last year Taillon had some violent hit/strand% corrections, which did some damage to his ERA and also undid some of the damage when he was getting lucky. This is a very hittable pitcher on a very hittable day at Wrigley.


Pinnacle takes some of the lowest fees on all users’ bets, meaning it’s able to offer some of the best value odds on the market. Compared to other major, well-known sportsbooks, Pinnacle offers superior average odds pricing. Pinnacle’s low betting margins and high betting limits is the best in the biz and will save you thousands of dollars over your betting life.

For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

If you bet on sports daily, Pinnacle is a must have because of their low margins.


Our Pick

St. Louis +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee