Miami @ Colorado
Miami -1½ +129 over Colorado

Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  -1½ +129 BET365 -1½ +125 Sportsinteraction -1½ +125 888Sport -1½ +125

Miami -1½ +129 over Colorado

1:10 PM EST. The Rockies lost 20 of the first 29 games they played to start the season, but May Flowers have brought more wins, as Colorado has gone 12-9 this month, including winning two of the first three games of this series with Miami.

The Rocks will send Kyle Freeland (LHP - COL) to the mound today for his 11th start of the season. Through those starts, Freeland is 4-5 with an ERA of 3.88. However, his xERA is higher at 4.54. Freeland has had his ups and downs this season, with two of his last three turns resulting in just two earned runs. But in another turn, his start on Saturday in Texas, Freeland gave up eight runs on nine hits over just 2.0 innings pitched. Across his 53.1 innings pitched this season, Freeland has 38 strikeouts to 12 walks, posting a WHIP of 1.24.

The Marlins are one of the best-hitting teams in the majors against left-handed pitching, having posted the fifth-best average in MLB at .287. The Fish are also the fourth most disciplined team in MLB against lefties, with just 84 strikeouts in 355 team at-bats. Additionally, the Marlins are sixth in slugging percentage versus LHP, which should serve them well here at Coors Field against Freeland today.

The Fish will answer with Braxton Garrett (LHP - MIA), who has started eight games this season, although he has appeared in nine games in total. Through his 43.0 innings pitched, Garrett has 44 strikeouts to just eight walks. While Garrett is just 1-2, he has been unlucky, posting an inflated .349 Batting Average on Balls in Play. His 4.60 surface ERA is also inflated when compared to his 3.38 xERA. Better days are coming for Garrett, but until his surface numbers improve, he’s going to be underpriced.



Our Pick

Miami -1½ +129 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.58)

San Francisco +101 over Chicago