Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  +104 BET365 +100 Sportsinteraction +101 888Sport +100

Detroit +104 over Kansas City

7:40 PM EST. Matthew Boyd (LHP - DET) has been flammable during his eight starts (6.21 ERA, 1.46 WHIP in 38 IP). His aggregate skills don't seem to show any reason for optimism either but he’s actually getting progressively better with each start. Now tuck away Boyd's ability to miss bats (13.3% swing and miss rate) as a reason to get behind him against weak teams with a lefty-heavy lineups (.546 OPS vL) and we have ourselves a bet. Kansas City should have five or six lefties in the lineup today.

Surface stats can be volatile, but you'd be hard-pressed to find a more consistent 5-year downward skills trend than a scan of Zach Greinke’s xERA and dominant start/disaster starts splits. Three years of K%, K-BB%, and swing and miss are just as damning. His 38 K’s and just seven walks issued will lure some unsuspecting bettors but it’s usually batting practice out there because his swing and miss rate is just 7% and lots of balls are being hit hard. K.C. does not warrant being favored here.

Sherwood

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