L.A. Angels @ Baltimore
L.A. Angels +124 over Baltimore

Posted at 1:15 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  +124 BET365 +120 Sportsinteraction +120 888Sport +120

L.A. Angels +124 over Baltimore

6:35 PM EST. We've been fading Dean Kremer (RHP - BAL) all season, and we see no reason to let up now when he's favored in this range against a team that ranks in the top 10 (ninth) in Slugging% against right-handed pitching. Kremer has been knocked around so often, his head is spinning, with 48 hits given up across his 41.2 innings. Those hits have led to 23 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.46. Kremer has just 32 strikeouts to 13 walks, while posting an ugly xERA of 6.93, which is much higher than his already smelly surface ERA of 4.97.

This might be the last time to buy low on Chase Silseth (RHP - LAA), who will make his first start tonight, seeing a limited 3.1 innings so far this season. Silseth brings quality offerings to the table with his 96 MPH heater that pairs well with his cutter and his slider, which have career swing and miss rates of 13% and 16%. Silseth started seven games in 2022 after making the jump straight from AA-Rocket City to Anaheim. Silseth went just 1-3, but he did not look out of place, posting a first-pitch strike rate of 64.3%, with 24 K's in 28.2 innings. The Angels really like this kid, and he's going to get a chance to make a go as a starter with the injury to Jose Suarez, who will be out for at least a month.

While we do not put much stock into minor league numbers, Silseth did make a quick stop in AAA-Salt Lake to start the season, which is akin to pitching in a place like Coors Field, striking out 20 batters in 20 innings across four starts, posting an ERA of 0.90, with a groundball rate of 64%. We're going to buy in now while Silseth is still undervalued and under the radar.

Finnie

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Our Pick

L.A. Angels +124 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.48)

Washington +134 over Seattle
Texas +143 over Minnesota
L.A. Angels +100 over Cleveland
San Diego +100 over N.Y. Yankees