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Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Runcorn Linnets +120 (Draw No Bet) over VAUXHALL MOTORS

Rivacre Park – Ellesmere Port, England

England Northern League Division One

United Kingdom Soccer

10:00 AM ET. The “Derby of the Wirral” may not carry the global shine of a Merseyside Derby or a Manchester Derby, but in terms of spite, tension, and chaos? It absolutely holds its own. These two clubs do not like each other. Vauxhall Motors and Runcorn Linnets are separated by only a short ride down the M56 — neighbouring port towns of Ellesmere Port and Runcorn — and the familiarity breeds the kind of hostility that turns matches into mayhem.

That’s why we’re not going all-in on a standard moneyline three-way position. In this feud, strange things happen. Penalties get awarded. Cards pile up. Tempers flare. Goals show up late. Matches swing wildly in stoppage time. The last three meetings tell the story perfectly: two draws, and one game decided by a penalty. That’s derby football — and it’s exactly why Draw No Bet is the sharpest angle. If it ends level, we push. No harm done. Now, for the side we are leaning on in this equation: we’re backing the Linnets.

For all the respect the Motormen earn sitting fourth in the league table, there’s a psychological edge in this rivalry that Runcorn has consistently owned. The Motormen simply have not been able to put away their arch rivals in recent memory. Every time they think they’ve got control, Runcorn finds a way to wreck the script — whether it’s nicking points late, scoring from the spot, surviving with a man down, or pouncing on a careless error. That intangible matters more than form, more than standings, and more than venue.

Vauxhall is favored because this match is at Rivacre Park and Runcorn sits in sixth though only two points back. But those details haven’t decided this fixture before, and they’re unlikely to decide it now. This is not a matchup where you trust Vauxhall Motors simply because they’re at home and slightly higher in the standings. Until the Motormen prove they can perform in this rivalry convincingly, they’re not a favorite worth backing. So we’ll fade Vauxhall hard and dare them to beat us. Runcorn Linnets - Draw No Bet at a plus price.   

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