Pinnacle  +220  BET365     +220   Sportsinteraction    +220    888Sport    +220

Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

WEST HAM UNITED +220 (To Win in Full Time) over Nottingham Forest

London Stadium – London, England

English Premier League

United Kingdom Soccer

3:00 PM ET. Just days ago, we faded the Hammers on the road against a winless Wolverhampton side — a match where Wolves were inexplicably favored despite having yet to earn a victory on the campaign. The signal proved accurate: Wolverhampton rolled West Ham 3–0. Now the pendulum has swung the other way, and the market is selling hard on West Ham. That overcorrection is our opportunity.

If West Ham had won that match 3–0 instead of losing by that margin, this fixture would almost certainly be priced with either side as a toss up. Nottingham Forest wouldn’t be hovering near an even-money favorite; both sides would likely sit somewhere in the +150 range. Instead, we’re getting West Ham pushed all the way out to +220 — and that number reflects emotion and recency bias, not balance.

Forest’s schedule compounds the situation. They are staring at a brutal three-match stretch immediately after this one: a Boxing Day-style FA Cup showdown at the Racecourse against Wrexham, a home date with league-leaders Arsenal, and UEFA Europa League action away at Braga. Of the four fixtures in that run, this is the one most likely to receive the least emotional investment. Show up in body, conserve in spirit — that dynamic happens more often than bettors admit.

Meanwhile, this isn’t a case of West Ham being outclassed by a vastly superior opponent. Forest sits 17th in the table; West Ham sits 18th. On the road, Forest has a −9 goal differential, with just two wins and six outright losses. That is not the profile of a side you rush to back at a near-evens tag — especially away from home.

Yes, the Hammers’ stock is in the gutter after Wolverhampton. But that’s why we’re here. The number is inflated, the situation is favorable, and the opponent is vulnerable. West Ham should not be a +220 underdog in this spot — and that discrepancy is where value lives. We’re buying the overreaction. Hammers to steal three points.   

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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