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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

OLDHAM ATHLETIC +160 (To Win in Full Time) over Northampton Town

Boundary Park - Oldham, England

England FA Cup United Kingdom Soccer

11:00 AM ET. When this line hit the board, it stopped us in our tracks. Oldham Athletic — recently promoted into League Two and sitting mid-table — are favored at home against a League One side in Northampton Town, who themselves sit mid-table in their division. On the surface, it shouldn’t make sense.

Let’s layer it in further. Oldham haven’t won in their last six outings. They haven’t beaten Northampton in close to ten years — seven straight meetings without a win. The Cobblers have clear league-tier superiority, historical dominance in the matchup, and steadier form. And yet here we are, with the Latics priced as the side expected to advance. That’s not an accident; that’s a signal.

Let’s remember the stage. This isn’t some anonymous Tuesday night fixture deep in the non-league pyramid. This is the FA Cup — the oldest, most prestigious domestic competition in the world, and one that every supporter, club, and manager circles each year. When the market installs a lower-league side as the favorite against a higher-tier opponent — especially when history leans heavily against that lower-league side — the message is clear: ignore the surface and follow the number.

Oldham or nothing. This is the only side to be on. Thus, we are backing the Latics to pull the rug out from underneath Northampton and send the Cobblers out of the FA Cup in full time.

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