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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

WEST HAM UNITED +150 (To Win in Full Time) over Brentford

London Stadium - London, England English Premier League

3:00 PM ET. At first glance, this line makes little sense. The Hammers have won only once all season, remain winless at home, and haven’t produced a result in their last four outings—yet they’re priced as the favorite. Interesting.

Brentford, while a lower-mid-table side themselves, at least carry some curb appeal. The Bees have logged several notable results: a 2-0 win at Bournemouth, back-to-back victories over Aston Villa, a 3-1 smacking of Manchester United right after the Red Devils beat Chelsea, and a 2-2 draw against those same Blues. Add in that Brentford is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings with the Hammers, and who wouldn’t be tempted to grab them as a near +200 underdog in full time?

However, that’s the proverbial carrot dangling at the end of the stick. All of those trends, results, and narratives are already baked into this number—and still West Ham is priced as if this is their match to lose. Perhaps it is. The market is tipping its hand.

There’s also a look-ahead factor at play. Brentford hosts defending champion Liverpool on Saturday, which makes this cross-London trip feel like a nuisance more than a priority. The Bees could easily get caught glancing forward while the desperate Hammers look to right the ship in front of their own supporters.

Everything about this setup screams trap for the visitors. We’ll side with the signal, not the sentiment. West Ham United for three points.

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