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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Bolton Wanderers +150 (To Win in Full Time) over HUDDERSFIELD TOWN

John Smith’s Stadium – Huddersfield, England

England League One – United Kingdom Soccer

2:45 PM ET. Bolton has been a disaster away from Middlebrook — winless in six road fixtures and coming off a 3-0 dismantling by Burton Albion, a club barely keeping its head above relegation. On paper, that’s a team you wouldn’t trust to find the net, let alone three points. Across the pitch stands Huddersfield, a supposed promotion hopeful with just one loss at home all year. If this were a blind résumé test, Huddersfield would be chalked up as the obvious favorite. Only, they’re not.

That’s the giveaway. Bolton is favored to win full time. Huddersfield backers are being offered a plus price to support a club that’s in form, at home, against a side that looks like a write-off. That isn’t a trap — it’s a message. The market is telegraphing where the true edge lies, and it isn’t with the Terriers.

We’re not interested in possession charts or passing maps. This one is pure situational betting. The books are begging for Huddersfield money, dangling a tasty home price in front of the public, and that alone is reason enough to run the other way. Bolton is being priced as though a response is coming, and when the number speaks that clearly, we listen.

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