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Posted at 11:30AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Buffalo +100 over Montreal

7:00PM EST. While the Canadiens picked up an important regulation win in their last outing, that victory masks how uneven their overall play has been through a demanding stretch of games. Buffalo, on the other hand, has quietly surged into form, winning the vast majority of its recent contests and closing the gap in the standings with games still in hand. When a team is trending upward this sharply and still offered at a playable price, it creates an opportunity to back momentum rather than chase past results.

From a matchup standpoint, Buffalo’s offensive depth gives them a clear edge. The Sabres are no longer a one-line team, and their ability to generate scoring chances from multiple units has been a major factor in their recent success. Montreal has struggled when opposing forwards are able to attack the middle of the ice and sustain pressure, and that’s exactly where Buffalo thrives. The Canadiens’ reliance on a rotating goaltending situation adds volatility, especially against a team that shoots often and finishes efficiently. Even when Montreal controls stretches of play, they’ve shown vulnerability to quick scoring bursts that can flip games in a matter of minutes.

The value case for Buffalo also rests on urgency and trajectory. With the Sabres sitting just outside the top tier of the conference and holding games in hand, every divisional matchup carries added weight. Montreal may be slightly ahead in the standings, but Buffalo is playing the more complete hockey right now and has already shown it can exploit Montreal’s defensive lapses. In a game where both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, backing the side with stronger recent form, deeper scoring, and a clearer upward curve is the sharper play. Buffalo to win isn’t about fading Montreal — it’s about trusting the team that looks closer to peaking at the right time.

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