Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle +180 BET365 +180 Sportsinteraction +180 888Sport +180
Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Anaheim +180 over Carolina
7:00 PM ET. OT included. Carolina puts up six goals on Dallas, gets Seth Jarvis back in the lineup, and suddenly the Hurricanes are “fixed.” That’s how you get inflated prices. What’s being missed is that beneath the surface, these two teams have been playing much closer hockey than the records suggest. Over the last 10 games, Anaheim ranks 6th in puck possession, Carolina 5th. That’s not the profile of a +180 mismatch.
Yes, Anaheim is losing games. Seven straight, in fact. But the way they’re losing matters. The Ducks continue to generate looks, control long stretches of play, and hang around in games longer than the scoreboard implies. This is not a team getting territorially buried every night. Regression doesn’t announce itself politely — it shows up when nobody wants to click the button anymore.
Carolina, meanwhile, is still being priced like a finished product. The Hurricanes just snapped a rough stretch (2-5-1 prior to this mini surge), and now they’re laying a number that assumes dominance rather than fragility. The Jarvis return helps, but it also inflates perception. We’ve seen this movie before: one loud performance, the market overreacts, and value quietly slides to the other side. Quack, quack.
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Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose.
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Our Pick
Anaheim +180 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.60)
