Pinnacle  +120  BET365   +120   Sportsinteraction  +120  888Sport  +120

Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Anaheim +120 over Philadelphia

7:07 PM ET. OT included. This is a classic process-over-results spot. We were on Anaheim last night in Washington where they outshot the Capitals 45–27 and still lost 7–4. That’s hockey variance in its purest form. The Ducks played fast, aggressive, and spent long stretches in the offensive zone — the kind of effort that usually gets rewarded, just not on the scoreboard yet. When the market reacts to results instead of how the game was actually played, value shows up.

Anaheim’s record looks brutal, but the underlying play is stabilizing. Joel Quenneville has them skating with purpose again, pushing pace, and generating real volume. That’s not a team folding — that’s one sitting on a correction. You don’t get +125 with a club generating that kind of shot profile unless the books know the public wants no part of them.

Philadelphia comes home off a clean win in Edmonton, which has inflated their price. That game was controlled and methodical, but this matchup invites chaos — and that favors the side willing to trade chances. If Anaheim owns the shot clock again, the math eventually works in our favor. Stay patient, trust the process, and take the plus price before the bounce finally comes.

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