Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle -1.5 +230 BET365 -1.5 +230 Sportsinteraction -1.5 +230 888Sport -1.5 +230
Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Utah -1.5 +230 over NY Rangers
7:07 PM ET. Regulation only. This is a numbers-over-names spot, and the numbers point firmly toward Utah. Over the last two weeks, the Mammoth have quietly been a top-five puck possession team, while the Rangers sit bottom five in that same window. That gap matters. Possession drives shot volume, territorial advantage, and ultimately margin — and margin is exactly what we’re targeting laying the goal and a half. New York’s recent results have been propped up by finishing and goaltending, not repeatable five-on-five play.
Yes, the Rangers come home feeling good after a flashy road win in Miami and a strong showing in the outdoor Winter Classic, but the home ice story is far less flattering. They’re just 5-10-3 at Madison Square Garden, and even during their modest recent uptick, every home win has required overtime or a shootout. That’s not dominance — that’s survival. Strip away the hat tricks and highlight reels, and you’re left with a team that struggles to control play on its own rink, especially with J.T. Miller still sidelined and their best work coming away from home.
Utah, meanwhile, already beat this Rangers team earlier in the season and remains firmly in the wild-card hunt. Their inconsistency has been results-based, not process-based. Even in Saturday’s loss to New Jersey, Utah generated 31 shots and spent plenty of time in the offensive zone — they just didn’t finish. When a strong possession team runs into a bottom-tier possession club that relies on extra time to survive at home, the path to a regulation win is clear. We’re backing the Mammoth to control the game, tilt the ice, and win it with margin.
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Our Pick
Utah -1½ +230 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.60)
