Pinnacle  -0.5 +120   BET365   -0.5 +120  Sportsinteraction  -0.5 +120 888port  -0.5 +120

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Philadelphia -0.5 +120 over Vancouver

7:37 PM ET. Regulation only. Vancouver rolls in riding a perfect road trip and fresh off a shootout win in Boston, and the optics scream momentum. But dig a layer deeper and the warning signs are there. The Canucks just traded away Quinn Hughes, leaned heavily on Kevin Lankinen through a taxing East Coast stretch, and finally cracked defensively by allowing four goals to the Bruins after three low-event wins. This trip has been clean on the scoreboard, but it has not been light on mileage, emotion, or reliance on goaltending. That matters late in a swing like this.

Philadelphia’s results look ugly at first glance, but the underlying form is far more competitive than the record suggests. The Flyers have earned points in six of their last seven games and pushed the Rangers to a shootout on the road after blowing a two-goal lead. Special teams finally showed life with two power-play goals, and they generated multiple chances to end the game before the skills competition. This isn’t a team getting run off the ice; it’s a team losing thin margins while playing structured hockey. Add in the spark from Denver Barkey’s debut and the emotional lift of their lone home game in a brutal travel stretch, and this becomes a very different profile.

The market is asking Philadelphia to prove it while giving Vancouver full credit for a road run built on goaltending and shootout variance. That’s the imbalance. The Flyers are at home, motivated, and far more live than the price implies against a Canucks team that has already squeezed a lot out of this trip. This is the spot to fade the streak and back the side playing better than its results.

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