Pinnacle   +125    BET365  +125  Sportsinteraction  +125  888port  +125

Posted at 8:00AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Dallas +125 over Colorado Ball Arena – Denver, CO

9:00 PM ET. OT included. The market will always find a way to overvalue the Avalanche. They’re flashy, high-octane, and perennially in the Stanley Cup conversation. They win a couple of early-season games, the jerseys look sharp, the building is loud, and the bettors come running. What’s often lost in the noise is that this matchup hasn’t been kind to them — not recently, not when it’s mattered, and not when Dallas is the opponent.

For the second straight postseason, the Stars ended Colorado’s run, and last spring’s collapse was one for the ages. The Avs blew a two-goal lead at home in Game 7, a game they had wrapped until they didn’t. That kind of scar doesn’t fade easily, no matter how many new sweaters or commemorative nights they host.

Colorado’s 2–1 win over Utah on Thursday looks fine in the box score, but that game could’ve gone either way. The Avs leaned heavily on Scott Wedgewood, a journeyman goaltender who’s suddenly been thrust into a starter’s role while Mackenzie Blackwood rehabs an injury. Wedgewood’s been sharp, but it’s a house built on sand. He’s a 31-year-old backup who’s never carried a load, and now he faces a Dallas team that’s tormented this franchise and enters with confidence after a 5–4 road win in Winnipeg.

That victory in Manitoba wasn’t just a win — it was a statement from Glen Gulutzan’s debuting Stars. They were fast, aggressive, and opportunistic. Mikko Rantanen, facing his old club for the first time since detonating them in last year’s playoffs, looked every bit like a man who hasn’t cooled off. Dallas doesn’t rely on smoke and mirrors; they’re built from the back out with structure, depth, and a collective understanding of how to strangle elite teams.

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