New Jersey @ Edmonton
New Jersey +140 over Edmonton

Posted at 1:45 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +135 BET365 +140 SportsInteraction +140 888Sport +137

New Jersey +140 over Edmonton

9:05 PM EST. The Devils remain undervalued despite playing better hockey than any team in the league for the first 10 games. New Jersey’s xGF is an off-the-charts 67.37, which is 17 points higher than Edmonton’s just over 50.50 rate. xGF% is an advanced stat that uses shot quality to determine which team is expected to score more goals. Edmonton ranks middle of the pack (16th) while the Devils rank 1st. This advanced stat has predictive value, as it reveals that during 5-on-5 play, the Devils are dominating while on average, the Oilers are evenly matched when they take the ice. The Devils are a juggernaut of a team but are still being priced like a middle of the pack team and we’ll continue to invest in them until the market or media realizes just how good this visitor is.

We’re also going to trust that the Devils will be the more fired up club. They get a rare chance to face Connor McDavid in Edmonton with no expectations while the Oilers are coming off games against four Western opponents (St. Louis, Chicago, Calgary and Nashville). Furthermore, Edmonton returned home from a three-game trip last game out when they beat Nashville 7-4, which is another decent indication of how leaky Edmonton’s defense is. Yeah, the Oilers can score and yeah, McDavid is the best player in the world, but collectively it is the Devils that are elite and not the Oilers. The fact that Edmonton is priced in the -165 range or thereabouts is absurd.

Officially, we’re going to split this wager up into two parts:

New Jersey -½ +210 in regulation

New Jersey +145 in regulation

1 unit on each.

Our Pick

New Jersey +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)

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