Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore -3½ -105 over Pittsburgh

Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Baltimore -3.5 over Pittsburgh

8:25 PM ET. Yes, Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 27–22 in Week 14, and yes, the Steelers had a chance to clinch the division last week and failed. That’s exactly why the value sits with the Ravens now. Baltimore has quietly rebounded from a disastrous 1–5 start to win five straight after the bye, and they arrive here with the clearest motivation possible: win and the division is theirs. No tiebreaker math, no scoreboard watching, no safety net. Just handle business.

The biggest difference between this rematch and the first meeting is under center. Lamar Jackson is back, practiced all week, and has been unequivocal about his availability. That matters. The Ravens ran for 217 yards in the first matchup and still lost, largely because they couldn’t finish drives or protect late possessions. That’s not a sustainable edge for Pittsburgh. The Steelers’ offense, meanwhile, has looked increasingly fragile. Without DK Metcalf last week, they managed just six points against a Browns team actively racing toward the draft lottery. Darnell Washington is now out, and the burden again falls on Aaron Rodgers to elevate a group that has struggled to separate or sustain drives.

This line is telling us Baltimore is the better team right now, even on the road in a hostile division setting. The Ravens are healthier at the right spots, more explosive, and playing with urgency that doesn’t require help. Pittsburgh has shown grit, but grit doesn’t cash tickets when the offense stalls and the margin for error disappears. Lay the field goal and trust the team with the clearer path, the higher ceiling, and the quarterback advantage. Baltimore finishes the job.

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Sharkies

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Our Pick

Baltimore -3½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)