Pinnacle +125  BET365  +125 Sportsinteraction +125  888Sport +125

Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

San Francisco +125 over Seattle

8:00 PM ET. Seattle’s sitting there at 13-3 on a six-game heater, while San Francisco is the wounded heavyweight missing marquee names like Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. On the surface, that’s enough for most bettors to blindly grab the Seahawks. The oddsmakers aren’t buying it. Despite the injuries, despite the records, despite the public perception, San Francisco is priced as a live home dog with the No. 1 seed on the line. That alone should stop you in your tracks.

Context matters here. The 49ers already went into Seattle and won 17-13 in the opener, and that wasn’t a fluke. Brock Purdy outplayed Sam Darnold when it mattered, and San Francisco’s offense controlled the game late. Fast forward to now, and the situational edge tilts even more toward the Niners. Seattle is coming off a cross-country trip on a short week, with major questions at left tackle and a history of slow starts. Over their last five games, the Seahawks are averaging just seven first-half points. That’s playing with fire against a San Francisco offense that has hung 37 or more in three straight and just dropped 42 on Chicago after spotting them a defensive touchdown on the first snap.

This number is telling us San Francisco is still the more trusted team when everything is stripped away. Christian McCaffrey is healthy, Purdy is playing confident football, and George Kittle sounds ready to go. The Super Bowl is in Santa Clara, and the path to staying home runs straight through this game. Seattle’s margin for error shrinks dramatically if they fall behind early, and that’s exactly where their recent profile says they’re vulnerable.

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Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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