Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle -3.5 -110 BET365 -3.5 -110 Sportsinteraction -3.5 -110 888port -3.5 -110
Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Green Bay -3.5 over Baltimore
8:00 PM ET. The Green Bay Packers already punched their playoff ticket on Christmas night, yet the market is acting like they’re in survival mode after last week’s overtime loss in Chicago. Strip away the emotion and that game tells a very specific story: Green Bay lost without Jordan Love for most of the night and still pushed a division leader into overtime on the road. That’s not a downgrade spot. That’s confirmation of depth, structure, and resilience — all things the market tends to ignore when the final score stings.
On the other side, the Baltimore Ravens are clinging to thin air. They don’t control their destiny, they’re coming off a missed opportunity last week, and most importantly, Lamar Jackson is highly unlikely to play. That’s not a footnote — that’s the game. Tyler Huntley is serviceable, but this offense loses its explosiveness and margin for error without Jackson, who has battled through multiple injuries all season. Add in the surrounding noise — speculation about the coach-QB relationship, playoff pressure, and a win that may not even matter — and this is not a team stepping into Lambeau with clarity or leverage.
Green Bay, meanwhile, knows exactly who it is. With Love and Josh Jacobs healthy enough to go, the Packers lead the league in explosive-play differential and are 8-0-1 when scoring 27 or more points. Even if Love is limited or Malik Willis is forced into action, this offense has already shown it doesn’t need to reinvent itself to function. Baltimore’s motivation is theoretical; Green Bay’s is practical — improve positioning, protect home field, and send a message in prime time. Swallow the points.
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Our Pick
Green Bay -3½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)
