Pinnacle   o222½    BET365  o223½175  Sportsinteraction  o223½  888port 

Posted at 8:10 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Jameis Winston – Over 223½ Passing Yards

The Giants had a choice between Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, and they didn’t choose Winston to hand the ball off 35 times. They chose him because he throws the football — aggressively, fearlessly, and vertically. When an offensive coordinator suddenly becomes the interim head coach after the previous HC gets fired, he is not stepping in to babysit a conservative game plan. Mike Kafka is going to call this game with his fingerprints all over it, and that means Winston is walking into a pass-first script from the very first series.

Winston hasn’t played a snap this season, but that isn’t a bug — it’s a feature. He’s fresh, he’s motivated, and he’s been openly waiting for this opportunity. This isn’t a caretaker quarterback. This is someone who has thrown for over 24,000 yards in his career, has a 5,000-yard season on his résumé, and averaged 291 passing yards per start last year in Cleveland. The guy doesn’t dink and dunk. When Winston plays, the ball leaves the pocket. Often.The market has moved toward the under because of two external factors that have nothing to do with Winston’s likely usage:

Wind in the forecast, which always triggers automated total-dropping by sportsbooks, and

Green Bay’s offense being stuck in neutral for three straight weeks, which drags the full-game total down even further but these conditions inflate the value of this prop. Wind pushes totals down even when the gusts aren’t game-altering and Green Bay’s offensive issues don’t affect how New York will call plays under an interim regime trying to make a statement.

Also important: if the Packers’ offense is struggling again, the Giants will need Winston to move the ball — not protect a lead. And if the Packers aren’t struggling, the Giants will be trailing and throwing anyway. Both scripts work for the over.

Most importantly, the Giants have a brand-new voice running the show. When an interim head coach takes over midseason — especially an offensive coordinator — he almost always leans heavy into his quarterback and his playbook to establish identity. That’s the scenario here. Winston wasn’t chosen because he can scramble or manage the run game. He was chosen because he can sling it.

Winston plays fast. He plays loose. He plays vertical. And he plays to his arm strength. With a low total depressing this number, with a coordinator who wants to assert himself, and with a quarterback who has never met a passing window he didn’t think he could hit, this number is far too low.

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