Pinnacle    +180     BET365  +180   Sportsinteraction  +180  888port  +180

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

N.Y. Giants +180 over Chicago

1:00 PM ET. The market is getting way too cozy with Chicago. The Bears have been a nice story — they’ve played some energetic football and Caleb Williams has made plenty of “wow” throws — but laying more than a field goal here feels inflated. The market is pricing Chicago as if all their flaws are behind them. They’re not.

The Bears have been living dangerously. They’ve allowed 25+ points in four of their last five, they commit more penalties than almost anyone in the league, and they continue to stall in the red zone. Those are issues that don’t vanish just because you’re winning. Chicago has gone over its team total in seven of eight games, but much of that came against soft defenses that don’t blitz or disguise coverages. The Giants aren’t one of those teams.

New York’s 2-7 record doesn’t scare us. The results have been ugly, but the effort remains honest, and Brian Daboll still has his guys playing hard. Rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart is improving by the week — he’s taking hits, learning to read pressure, and starting to look comfortable in rhythm throws. The Giants’ pass rush, led by Brian Burns, is built to disrupt rhythm-based passing offenses like Chicago’s. Burns has been a terror, and if he gets any help from the secondary, this game can stay tight throughout.

Chicago is a team with a lot of “fixable” problems — penalties, red-zone inefficiency, QB accuracy — but “fixable” doesn’t mean “fixed.” They’re 5-1 in their last six, yet those wins came with plenty of turbulence. Now they’re priced as if consistency has arrived. It hasn’t. This line is over-adjusted based on recent form, and that’s where we want to fade the hype.

New York has dropped three straight, but each loss has come with teachable moments. They’re growing through mistakes, not quitting because of them. Jaxson Dart’s mobility gives the Giants’ offense a dimension Chicago’s defense hasn’t had to deal with lately, and with the Bears’ pass rush still inconsistent, New York should hang around all afternoon.

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