Pinnacle    +8 -110     BET365  +8 -110   Sportsinteraction  +8 -110  888port  +8 -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Washington +8 over Detroit

4:25 PM ET. The Lions are a fun story when things are rolling, but they’re also one of those teams that needs everything to go right to cover a big number on the road. When they get out of rhythm, Jared Goff starts hearing footsteps and Dan Campbell starts making decisions based on emotion instead of probability. They’re coming off a humbling home loss to Minnesota where Goff was sacked five times and the vaunted run game produced next to nothing. Now they’re being asked to go into Landover and spot more than a converted touchdown to a desperate opponent.

Washington’s stock couldn’t be lower after four straight losses and a primetime embarrassment in Seattle. The market is reacting to injuries and noise, not value. Jayden Daniels, Luke McCaffrey, and Marshon Lattimore are out, and that’s the kind of info the oddsmakers know the public will chase. The Commanders’ quarterback situation is less than ideal with Marcus Mariota taking over, but this is still an NFL team with a strong offensive line, a pair of capable backs, and a locker room that doesn’t quit. Teams with nothing to lose can be dangerous when getting this many points.

Detroit is 12-0 straight-up and against the spread following a loss since late 2022, but that trend has more to do with timing and scheduling than magic. The Lions are banged up on the offensive line again (Sewell and Decker both missed practice), and their depth on defense is starting to crack. The Commanders’ defense has been shredded lately, yet that unit is due for some positive regression—Seattle scored on everything last week, and that’s not sustainable.

The Lions will be looking for revenge after Washington stunned them in the playoffs last season, but revenge doesn’t cover numbers—performance does. Detroit’s offense is built on rhythm and balance, and both elements have been missing for weeks. Washington may not win outright, but this is the perfect buy-low spot against a Lions team that’s overvalued and overconfident.

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