Pinnacle   -7½ -110   BET365  -7½ -110  Sportsinteraction  -7½ -110  888port  -7½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Philadelphia -7½ over N.Y. Giants

Lincoln Financial Field - Philadelphia, PA

1:00 PM ET. The market is practically begging you to take the Giants again. They just hammered the Eagles 34-17 two weeks ago as a 7½-point underdog, and now they’re catching the same number in the rematch? The public is going to look at that, remember what they saw on Thursday night in Jersey, and figure it’s free money. It isn’t.

Everything about this setup screams correction. That Week 6 game was one of those outlier performances that make casual bettors believe in false narratives. The Giants were +2 in turnovers, converted every key third down, and got three touchdowns from Cam Skattebo on short fields. Meanwhile, Philadelphia went 1-for-9 on third down, dropped two passes in the end zone, and still outgained the Giants by over 100 yards. That game told you more about variance than it did about talent.

Since then, the Eagles have looked like themselves again — 28 points on the road in Minnesota, no turnovers, and a defense that’s finally healthy. The return of Jalen Carter is massive. He didn’t play in the first meeting, and his presence up front changes everything about how Jaxson Dart will see the field. The Giants’ O-line has been shaky against any pressure package, and Philadelphia’s front seven is about to feast.

We’re not selling the idea that Jaxson Dart can just roll into Philly and repeat his rookie masterpiece from two weeks ago. He’s still a first-year quarterback, facing the same defense for the second time in 18 days — except this time, they’ve had film, rest, and Jalen Carter. That’s a bad formula for the visitor.

The Eagles are off that “embarrassed favorite” spot that’s made us money for years — good teams that lose outright as big favorites tend to destroy their opponent in the immediate rematch. Everything here points to one of those beatdowns. The books hung this line exactly where they wanted it to attract Giants money, and they’re going to clean up.

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