Pinnacle  +7½ -110  BET365  +7½ -110   Sportsinteraction  +7½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Cleveland +7½ over Green Bay

1:00 PM ET. Green Bay looked terrific under the lights last Thursday against Washington, and the market cannot get to the window fast enough to back them again. Add in Cleveland getting its brains beat in by Baltimore, and suddenly the Packers are being priced like a juggernaut while the Browns are being dismissed as a free square. That’s precisely when the oddsmakers slide us a crooked number. Last week, the Ravens closed as a 12½-point favorite over these very Browns and covered with ease. Now Green Bay, on extra rest after dominating Washington, is spotting just a touchdown? If the Packers are as dominant as the market claims, this line should be 10, maybe more. It isn’t. That alone should tell you all you need to know about where the value lies.

Cleveland has been lumped into the “booger-eater” category by the mainstream football conversation, but that noise often creates opportunity. Everyone saw Baltimore bully them. Everyone saw Green Bay shine in prime time. Recency bias is fueling this number, not a sober evaluation of the actual matchup. Football doesn’t work like the stock market—value isn’t in buying the winners, it’s in buying the hated, the ugly, the team nobody wants. That’s the Browns right now. They were embarrassed, they’ve been written off, and the public has already moved on to highlight reels of Jordan Love throwing darts to Christian Watson. That’s when taking back a full converted touchdown becomes the prudent move.

Cleveland still has playmakers on defense, and this is the exact kind of week where effort shows up after being clowned the game prior. Books are daring you to step in front of the Packers freight train, and we’ll happily oblige. Numbers like this don’t show up by accident and when the oddsmakers tell us something, we listen.

Take advantage of BET365's early payout offers

For straight bets,

Football  if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

Applies to parlays and Same Game Parlays also!!!!