Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +9 -112 BET365 +9 -110 Sportsinteraction +9 -110 888Sport +9 -110

Washington +9 over Miami

1:00 PM EST. Anyone out here watch the Dolphins/Jets last Friday afternoon while your wife/girlfriend/boyfriend went shopping? In the NFL’s first Black Friday game, the Dolphins entered MetLife Stadium and steamrolled the Jets. New York had a pick-six and another interception before halftime, and it looked like this game would be close. Instead, the Jets threw a Hail Mary attempt, and Miami took it 99 yards for a touchdown before halftime. Miami ended the day with 395 yards of offense, and they held the Jets to 159 total yards of offense. The Commanders went into Arlington and were destroyed 45-10 by the Cowboys, and defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio was subsequently fired. The previous week, Washington was humiliated in a loss to the Giants when it appeared like the Giants were the NFL’s worst team. Now we have Washington and their rock bottom stock taking on the quickest show on turf --- the high flying, whoop it up Dolphins.

For at least two straight weeks, the Commanders have been putrid in their play calling, execution, game management, and overall play. Overall Washington has one win in its last six games, which came against the just removed/banned from Monday Night Football, New England Patriots. Perhaps the Panthers’ stock is lower than Washington’s but it’s close. Losing 45-10 in Dallas in the much-watched Thanksgiving game was exactly what the Commanders did not need. HC Ron Rivera sacrificed his defensive coordinator because something had to be done, but he is on a hot seat with new owners and is on a three-game losing streak. There is a bye in Week 14, and Rivera may not want to pick up that ringing phone. Ron Rivera will be calling defensive plays this week.

Last week the market feasted on a schedule that paid for a lot of Christmas presents. The books got buried in teasers and had to protect against a similar fate this week. Yeash, Miami should roll this team but don’t bet on it because in terms of checking boxes for all the proper ways to handicap a football game, Washington checks every box. If we didn’t know better, we would predict a 70-3 Miami victory but we know better and thus, Washington now becomes one of the best bets on the board this week because the market has grossly over-adjusted to what their eyes are telling them. An upset is very possible while a cover is highly probable.

Sherwood

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