Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.
Tennessee +120 over Atlanta
1:00 PM EST. There’s lots to get to here. First, Will Levis is expected to be the starting quarterback for Tennessee since Ryan Tannehill's ankle injury will keep him out. Secondly, Tennessee just traded Kevin Byard, which in turn has the media pimping the “throwing in the towel” mantra to begin the initiation of a rebuild. Despite the rebuild narrative, despite Tannehill not playing, oddsmakers still wouldn’t offer up a field goal on the Titans. That alone should make you reluctant to spot road points with the Dirty Birds.
As for Will Levis, he’s a wild card to be sure. Some scouts sing his praises and others say he has no shot. One thing everyone agrees on, however, is that he’s a big-ass QB who can run, and he’s got one of the strongest arms you’ll ever see out of college. He can throw but his accuracy has come into question, which is precisely what the knock on Josh Allen was too. His decision making has also been questioned but time will tell. At the NFL Draft, there was lots of speculation around Levis, as some analysts said he could be the second QB taken off the board while others insisted that he would be the fourth or fifth QB taken. As it turns out, Bryce Young (No. 1, Panthers), C.J. Stroud (No. 2, Texans) and Anthony Richardson (No. 4, Colts) were gone in the first four picks of the NFL Draft but no team came calling for Levis. In the end, Levis went in the second round (33rd overall) so make no mistake that he comes in with a massive chip on his shoulders.
The 4-3 Falcons beat the Buccaneers last week for outright ownership of the NFC South however, Atlanta should have won by three TD’s instead of three points. They dominated but costly turnovers deep in TB territory prevented the Falcons from blowing it wide open. The Falcons set the X-previously-known-as-twitter on fire last Sunday when one person from every fantasy league started shouting, "WHERE IS BIJAN?" followed by, "OH, THEN WHY ISN'T HE IN THE GAME?" During the second half, news came out that Bijan Robinson "wasn't feeling well." Despite zero warning and nothing on the injury report, he was active and dressed. The NFL is looking into it now because teams are not supposed to hide the fact that a star running back says, "Not today, I have a headache." The Falcons beat the Buccaneers and the Commanders before that.
Meanwhile, the 2-4 Titans are on a two-game losing streak with a rushing offense that doesn't match up to recent years, while the passing offense may have never been worse. The season is slipping away, and there's nothing here to suggest that a turnaround is imminent or even likely. There are rumors that Derrick Henry could be traded away, which would be the ultimate towel-throwing action. The offensive line's decline has thwarted all attempts to move the ball and even brought down the great King Henry. Frankly, nothing points to the Titans competing here, which is why we’re recommending them. We’re also not convinced that the Falcons are worthy of being road chalk. Recommendation: Tennessee +2½
Tennessee +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)