N.Y. Jets @ Dallas
N.Y. Jets +8 -110 over Dallas

Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +8 -111 BET365 +8 -110 Sportsinteraction +8 -110 888Sport +8 -110 

N.Y. Jets +8 -110 over Dallas

4:25 PM EST. In one of the most anticipated opening week Monday Night games ever, Aaron Rodgers went down immediately, the Jets defense played out of their minds for a full 60 minutes plus a series in OT, and New York went on to beat one of this year’s Super Bowl favorites in a game that will be talked about all season long. Meanwhile, the Cowboys couldn't have asked for a better opening to their year with a crushing 40-0 shutout of the Giants in New York on Sunday night in prime time. Thus, what we have here is an overreaction on two fronts. The price here is an overreaction to Dallas’ 40-0 win over the Giants combined with another overreaction to the Jets season taking a nasty turn only three plays into 2023 when Aaron Rodgers injured his Achilles and is out for the year. 

Let’s not forget that when the betting lines came out prior to Week 1, Dallas was listed as a three-point choice over the Jets in Week 2.  It’s also worth noting that with gambling on football games at its highest peak ever, books have to protect from the ever popular 6-point teasers that bettors are embracing like never before. Therefore a game that should be -8 or -8½ gets jacked up to -9 or -9½ to protect against a key number like 3 (winning margin) being a victory for the team that is teased down. In this case, that would be Dallas. 

Dallas’ win over the Giants was as resonating a Week 1 victory as you will ever see. It was a game in which everything that could possibly go wrong went wrong for the Giants, and an outstanding Dallas defense came out with its hair on fire and pummeled them into submission before they knew what hit them. If you bet the Giants and were looking forward to settling in on Sunday night and taking in a game you wagered on, you never stood a chance after five minutes. If you bet on the Giants, chances are you’re not betting against Dallas again this week, especially after watching Jets QB Zach Wilson being unable to move the offense five yards against Buffalo on Monday night. 

This week’s narrative is that the cursed Jets’ season went down the drain on their third play of the year. The narrative surrounding the Jets is all somber and it surrounds QB Zach Wilson not being good enough to lead this team. It’s the same thing that was heard all of last year and frankly, it’s warranted because Wilson hasn’t proved anything but let’s give him a break. First, the conditions last week were poor. Hell, Jake Allen couldn’t move the Bills the entire second half and most of the first half.  

Zach Wilson was thrown into the fire and was probably the most surprised person in the entire stadium when he was asked to come in after three plays into the season. Wilson looked like a much different quarterback in the fourth after the Jets couldn’t generate any offense during the first three quarters. Wilson completed a 24-yard pass to Allen Lazard as a defender brought him down. Wilson also completed a 14-yard pass to Garrett Wilson. That set up Wilson’s TD pass to Garrett Wilson that tied the game. He also has a season under his belt and it was reported that he had a great camp under the tutelage of Aaron Rodgers. Maybe he is ready….and if he’s not, if he’s the same QB as he was last year, the Jets defense is more than capable of keeping the Jets in this one. 

If you are concerned about this being a letdown spot for the Jets, it’s a valid concern after such an exhilarating win on Monday Night. However, we have considered that and normally it would be but the Jets’ players and coaches are reading/hearing the same things we are. They’re reading that their season is over. They’re reading how they should be looking to sign a QB like Carson Wentz for example. All of these negative narratives that are surrounding them are highly motivating so we’re going to suggest that the Jets energy level will be high again. This is a very good football team taking back a bunch of inflated points ---and what about Dallas.

Dallas’ defense won the game before its offense could get on track in the rain of Giants Stadium. The Cowboys offense didn't need to do much, with two touchdowns from an interception and a blocked kick. It was the first game with OC Kellen Moore gone and the playcalling was very conservative. This week will be a much greater test. Do you really want to trust the ‘Boys to spot a big price after an easy win? Have we not learned that trusting Dallas is an exercise in futility. Dak Prescott only threw 24 passes last week and completed 13 for 143 yards and no scores. There wasn't enough of a game to measure any changes to the offense. The need to throw for Prescott should be greater this week, and more challenged. Last year, Prescott was an interception waiting to happen and last week he was not under any pressure to do anything. This week figures to be a lot different. Finally, we look at the total of 37½, which is the lowest total on the board. In what figures to be a defensive battle, 8-points is not only an overlay but at this level, covering this margin with a total so low is a massive challenge. Jets plus the points gets the call.


Our Pick

N.Y. Jets +8 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)