Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 4:25 PM EST odds are subject to change.
Washington +7 over Dallas
1:00 PM EST. They say Dallas has something to play for, which is true but Philadelphia has to lose for this game to be meaningful to Dallas. In other words, the game will mean zilch so why would Mike McCarthy risk anything? Even if Dallas was playing for a playoff spot, we wouldn’t recommend spotting this many points to Washington, in Washington. Also consider the mindset of the players on Dallas, who know they are going to the playoffs and will likely treat this (mentally at least) as a glorified practice. Be very cautious about pulling the trigger on the ‘Boys here.
Remember when Washington’s stock was soaring? We’re constantly reminding you of the dangers of buying high on teams, which is why we’re usually selling when the majority are buying. Treat it just like the stock market and you’ll be ahead of the curve. Now that the market is once again selling on Washington, we’re back to being buyers.
Washington's points scored since their 32-21 Monday Night Football win in Philadelphia six weeks ago was followed by a 23-10 win in Houston in a game they had no business winning or covering. That was followed by 19, 20, 12, 20, and 10. Last week, Prince Harry-lookalike Carson Wentz failed again to ignite his team in a late-season crucial game, all following Ron Rivera switching away from Taylor Heinicke after Wentz briefly sparked the Washington offense in a belated late-game appearance at San Francisco the preceding week. Even Urban Meyer could have told Rivera that wouldn’t work last Sunday vs. Cleveland, as Wentz again failed spectacularly to deliver with the season on the line.
Vegas reported a big liability on Washington last week, which now sets up another cardinal sin of wagering, with that being the zig-zag theory. If you fade Washington this week, you may win but you’re selling low and you’re too late to the fade party. Now that Washington has zero pressure to perform and the weight of expectations have been lifted, chances are they’ll play a decent game again.
We’re not sure who Washington’s QB will be but we care not. It looks like Taylor Heinicke will get the start, with North Carolina rookie Sam Howell also expected to see action. Carson Wentz will probably be inactive. Like any home dog in a division rivalry game, with nothing to lose, the Commanders can battle and be in it with a chance to win it while Dallas cannot wait for next week's limelight.
Washington +7 +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)