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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

FLORIDA +170 ML over Tennessee

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium – Gainesville, FL

7:30 PM ET. This line says everything you need to know. Tennessee is ranked, Florida is 3–7, and yet the Vols are only laying a short number. That’s the clearest signal that the Gators are not a pushover here. Florida hasn’t had the season it hoped for, we get that. But the Gators are also a different team in The Swamp. They’ve beaten Texas to prove that. And at home, motivated, and with nothing to lose against a hated rival like the Volunteers, Florida becomes a threat.

Tennessee is kind of floating in no man’s land. But one thing that makes us reluctant to trust them here is their ability to leak points at an alarming rate. The Vols have given up 30 or more points in five conference tilts already this season. That kind of defensive inconsistency is a major problem on the road in this environment. That breathes life into Florida’s offensive acumen and allows the Gators to play punishing defense if they can get a lead. Another edge to the Orange and Blue.

We don’t know who Florida’s head coach will be next fall, but we know that this team plays hard under their present interim Head Coach – William “Billy” Gonzalez. This is a team with no major rivalry win either this season, LSU and Miami were both unravellings and their closest chance to glory against their biggest rival Georgia ended in heartbreak. This is an empty the tank kind of game for the Gators while the Volunteers are rudderless swimming in gator-infested waters. We play the number not the team and the number says Gators outright.

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