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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

TULSA +170 ML over Temple

Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium – Tulsa, OK

3:30 PM ET. This is very simply, a “numbers play”. Tulsa sits in that notoriously underdog-conducive range of around +5.5 points — a price that, more often than not, signals live-dog potency. On paper, the Golden Hurricane isn't an appealing choice. They’re just 2–5 on the year and 3–4 against the spread, a team that’s struggled to find rhythm or consistency on either side of the ball. But that’s exactly why the number itself matters here — because it says something very different than the surface-level optics do.

Temple enters at 4–3 overall but more importantly 6–1 against the number. That’s significant. The Owls have been one of the most profitable teams in the country for backers this campaign, covering in seven of their last eight outings dating back to last season. They’ve rewarded bettors frivolously. Last week, the Owls hammered Charlotte 49–14 on the road as a double-digit choice. On paper, that’s exactly what a team in form looks like. So why, then, are the Owls spotting less than a touchdown to Tulsa? That’s the pervading query one could make.

When a side has been covering at a clip like Temple’s opens as a modest favorite against an outfit buried in perception like the Golden Hurricane — that’s a key clue. Tulsa has won just two games in their last ten dating back to last season, putting them on par with the team that the Owls just beat up on last week. Yet, the books refuse to hang a touchdown here. That restraint is telling.

Everything about this setup points to regression for Temple and an opportunity for Tulsa. The number all but confirms it. Forget the points. Tulsa outright. There is nothing more to it.   

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