Pinnacle    +110     BET365  +110  Sportsinteraction  +110  888port  +110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +110 ML over Kennesaw State

Pitbull Stadium – Miami, FL

7:00 PM ET. Should Kennesaw State really be road chalk? The Owls have been impressive at home, a perfect 4–0 in their own building, but that success hasn’t traveled. Away from home, they’re winless — 0–2 outright — and now they’re being asked to go on the road as the favorite. That’s a new role for a team that’s thrived on being the underdog with nothing to lose.

Kennesaw State earned plenty of market love after last week’s 35–7 demolition of Louisiana Tech. The Owls were +4.5 in that game and not only covered but rolled, handing Tech their first ATS loss of the season. That kind of result grabs attention. Suddenly, a team that’s been quietly punching above its weight is now the darling of the week. But that’s exactly when the books flip the script — and that’s where value lies the other way.

FIU, meanwhile, just whacked Western Kentucky 25-6 on the road as a 10-point underdog. But no one is talking about that. However, we must reiterate that this is Kennesaw State’s first time as a road favorite all year, and that’s a different kind of pressure. Underdogs play loose; favorites must deliver. The Panthers are in prime position again.

Oddsmakers are also sending a signal. Despite Kennesaw State’s hot streak and market buzz, they’re spotting less than a field goal. That’s not confidence — that’s caution. It’s the market’s quiet way of saying: don’t get too comfortable with the Owls. This number is short for a reason.

All the edges line up — situational, psychological, and market-based. Kennesaw State is overvalued after a headline-grabbing win, while Florida International is sitting quietly at home with a chance to strike again. We’re not overcomplicating it. When an untested favorite meets a motivated home dog, the smart play is to take the plus money. That’s what we will be doing here.

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