Pinnacle    +21½ -110     BET365  +21½ -110  Sportsinteraction  +21½ -110  888port  +21½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

UAB +21½ over Memphis

Protective Stadium – Birmingham, AL

4:00 PM ET. This isn’t about loving UAB — it’s about fading Memphis at the absolute peak of their brand equity. The Tigers come into this matchup ranked, undefeated, and perfect against the spread. They’ve covered nine straight lines and haven’t failed to cash a ticket in their last ten games overall. That kind of consistency at the window is rare, and it pushes a team’s price tag through the roof. Eventually, the market catches up — and this is that spot.

Memphis has dominated UAB in recent years, winning and covering three straight games in the series. Meanwhile, the Blazers limp in on a three-game losing streak and have covered just three of their last ten overall. On paper, this looks like a mismatch. But that’s exactly what makes it dangerous. We’ve got two teams trending in opposite directions, and when that happens, the value lies squarely with the side nobody wants.

The total here tells a story too. Sitting at 62.5, the game projects to be high-scoring — the kind of environment that makes a big underdog cover more likely. Even if Memphis builds an early cushion, there are multiple “backdoor” paths for the Blazers to cover the number late. And with a massive showdown looming next week against USF — one that carries conference and playoff implications — this is the perfect lookahead spot for the Tigers. Don’t be surprised if Memphis gets out early, rests starters, and simply tries to get out of Birmingham healthy.

Nevertheless, flocks continue to line up on Memphis, who feel like automatic money each week. But that’s precisely when it’s time to sell high. Oddsmakers know how hot this team has been and have priced that success into the line. UAB doesn’t have to win; they just have to keep it respectable. When we consider how high the Tigers’ stock is trending, only one word describes them here: overlay. Grab the points.

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