Pinnacle    -1½ -110   BET365  -1½ -110   Sportsinteraction  -1½ -110  888port  -1½ -110

Posted at 8:00AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Texas -1½ over Oklahoma (Neutral Site Game)

Cotton Bowl – Dallas, TX

Red River Rivalry

3:30 PM ET. Here’s a line that makes no sense to the casual eye: unranked Texas laying points to #6-ranked Oklahoma on neutral turf. To the trained eye, it makes perfect sense. The line isn’t wrong — it’s begging for you to make the wrong move.

Texas opened -3½ before the public jumped on Oklahoma, trimming it down to this short number. That movement is driven by perception — Oklahoma looks shiny and new after taking down Michigan and Auburn, while Texas is yesterday’s news after losses at Ohio State and Florida. Yet the oddsmakers refuse to flip it. That should tell you everything you need to know.

This is the ultimate buy-low, sell-high situation. Oklahoma’s stock is soaring after a few headline wins. Texas’ stock couldn’t be lower after back-to-back humiliations. When the dust settles, though, the Longhorns still have the better roster, the more physical defense, and the quarterback who’s played in this cauldron before.

Oklahoma has been feasting on turnovers and short fields; those breaks even out eventually. Texas, meanwhile, returns to its comfort zone — overlooked, doubted, and finally underpriced. There’s no more talk of titles or Heismans; it’s just a team that’s been embarrassed and now gets a chance to swing up at a rival that’s feeling itself.

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Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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