Pinnacle  -6 -110  BET365   -6 -110   Sportsinteraction  -6 -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Indiana -6 over Illinois

Memorial Stadium – Bloomington, IN

7:30 PM ET. If Illinois were really the Top-10 monster their ranking suggests, this line wouldn’t be under a touchdown. The Illini are 3-0, riding a seven-game cover streak, and cashing like mad. The market loves them. That’s the problem.

Indiana’s résumé has been dismissed — three wins over lightweights — while Illinois’ Duke scalp is being overvalued. Strip away the turnovers in that one and the game flips. Western Michigan and Western Illinois don’t exactly scream legitimacy either.

The Hoosiers, quietly 3-0 and ranked inside the Top 20, are being priced like the stronger side here. The public sees Illinois as “easy money,” which is why Indiana is the right side. This is the value play of Saturday.

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