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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Kansas State -1 over Arizona

Arizona Stadium – Tucson, AZ

9:00 PM ET. Kansas State’s stock is toxic. They’re 0-3 ATS, 1-2 outright, and just lost to Army as a 17-point favorite after barely sneaking by an FCS school. Backers are jumping ship in droves. Meanwhile, Arizona has beaten Weber State and Hawaii by a combined score of 98-9. On paper, the Wildcats look irresistible as a short home dog.

That’s the bait. Books could’ve hung this at a pick ’em or even shaded toward Arizona. Instead, Kansas State is the one laying a tag despite looking like the worst investment in college football. That’s the signal.

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