Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle -7½ +104 BET365 -7 -110 Sportsinteraction -7 -110 88Sport -7 -110

Toledo -7½ over Miami Ohio

Mid-American Conference Championship

Ford Field – Detroit, MI

Streaming: ESPN

12:00 PM EST. As a 2½-point choice, Toledo won by 4 in the regular season meeting at Miami Ohio and now they’re spotting five points more. The oddsmakers also hung a hook (half point) on a key number like 7 and that, too, raises some red flags in terms of getting behind the underdog. To make Miami even more appealing, it went 9-3 against the spread this season, including outright upset wins over Ohio as a 7½-point underdog (same price as this one) and Cincinnati as a 14-point underdog. Meanwhile, Toledo went just 6-6 against the spread this year. There are just so many appetizing nuggets in Miami’s favor that the market is going to eat up if they haven’t already and we’re strongly suggesting that all of it is nothing more than bullshit fodder. Toledo is a vastly superior team than the Bobcats and oddsmakers know it. Since that head-to-head matchup between these two on Oct 21st in a game that Toledo led 21-3 at the half, both teams are undefeated but one is legit and one is not.

You see, the RedHawks have been involved in some shaky performances with new QB Aveon Smith at the helm. Miami beat Akron 19-0, but the Zips got deep into Miami territory four times in that game and somehow didn't score a single point. Miami beat Buffalo 23-10, but the Bulls fumbled on the goal line in the second half on a game-changing play. Miami was out-gained by 149 yards in last week's win over Ball State.

Oddsmakers are counting on the Rockets’ high-powered offense (they boast multiple valuable assets) to eventually wear out a Bobcats’ defense that figures to be on the field far too often in this game for far too long. Miami’s offense is painful to watch and if you bet the Bobcats here, you’re very likely going to be sorry you did.

Sherwood

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