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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Maryland +150 over Oregon

United Center, Chicago, IL

5:00 PM EST Maryland enters the Big Ten Tournament as an underdog, but the situation presents an interesting value opportunity for the Terrapins to pull off an upset. While their overall record has been disappointing, tournament settings often reset the momentum for teams that struggled during the regular season. Maryland has shown flashes of competitiveness throughout the year, particularly when its key scorers are producing consistently. Pharrel Payne has been the focal point of the offense, providing reliable scoring and rebounding in the frontcourt, while guard David Coit helps stabilize the backcourt with perimeter shooting and playmaking. If those two establish early rhythm, Maryland has enough offensive balance to keep this game tight.

Oregon enters the matchup after winning the earlier meeting between the teams, but that result doesn’t necessarily guarantee another comfortable outcome. The Ducks have had their own struggles throughout conference play, posting a difficult record against Big Ten opponents and frequently finding themselves in uneven performances. Offensively they rely heavily on perimeter scoring, but their three-point production has not always been consistent. When that outside shooting cools off, Oregon can become vulnerable in slower, half-court games where possessions matter more and scoring runs are harder to create.

From a value standpoint, backing Maryland to win outright offers an appealing risk-reward angle. The Terrapins are playing with nothing to lose in a tournament environment and could benefit from a motivated effort after closing the regular season on a losing streak. Oregon may be favored due to its earlier head-to-head win and slightly stronger profile, but the gap between these teams is not as large as the line may suggest. If Maryland can control the tempo, get steady production from Payne inside, and knock down enough perimeter shots, the Terrapins have a realistic path to pulling off the outright upset in this Big Ten Tournament matchup.

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