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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Rider +9 -110 over Sacred Heart

2:00 PM EST Taking Rider plus the points is a value-driven position built around price, not record. Yes, the Broncs are just 3-21, but large conference spreads often reflect overall standings rather than matchup specifics. Sacred Heart owns the better mark, yet the Pioneers allow over 77 points per game and rank near the bottom nationally in defensive efficiency metrics. Laying this many points with a team that struggles to consistently get stops creates vulnerability, especially against an opponent that plays at a slower pace and doesn’t generate a high volume of possessions.

Rider’s offensive numbers are poor across the board, but they do have a go-to scorer in Zion Cruz who can create his own shot and carry stretches offensively. In games with larger spreads, having one player capable of stringing together points late is critical for backdoor cover potential. The Broncs also force turnovers at a decent rate relative to their tempo, which could disrupt Sacred Heart’s ball movement. If Rider can turn this into a grind and limit transition chances, the game naturally stays closer to the number than the standings might suggest.

From a betting perspective, Sacred Heart’s defensive profile simply doesn’t justify laying this many points. The Pioneers give up high shooting percentages and allow opponents to hang around deep into games. Even in wins, they haven’t consistently shown the ability to create separation for a full 40 minutes. With conference familiarity and a sizable cushion on the spread, Rider with the points offers the sharper angle based purely on value and situational dynamics.

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